26 May 2015

2014/15 Rybczynski Prize Essay

How To See Into The Future

Tim Harford, Economist and Journalist

Billions of dollars are spent on experts who claim they can forecast what’s around the corner, in business, finance and economics. Most of them get it wrong. Now a ground-breaking report has unlocked the secret: it IS possible to predict the future – and a new breed of “superforecasters” know how to do it.